Friday, July 17th, 2009
I propose the following rule of thumb for VIX interpretation:
If you think some VIX movement entails a proposition p and movement in the other volatility indexes VXN, RVX, and VXD doesn’t entail p, you shouldn’t believe p.
Why accept this rule? Because equity indexes are highly correlated, especially over the very short term, and volatility indexes [...]
Friday, July 17th, 2009
I propose the following rule of thumb for VIX interpretation:
If you think some VIX movement entails a proposition p and movement in the other volatility indexes VXN, RVX, and VXD doesn’t entail p, you shouldn’t believe p.
Why accept this rule? Because equity indexes are highly correlated, especially over the very short term, and volatility indexes [...]